This is the second in a series on the 2026 budget. We are breaking it down, translating the language, and highlighting the colonial racism when its expressed in the form of a budget.
In the previous post, we laid out some of the key terms. We discussed the difference between an operating allowance and a capital allowance, debunked “needs based” funding, laid out how to calculate if any “increased spending” is actually enough to account for inflation and other financial pressures, and gave some general direction on where to look in order to see the wealth transfer from Māori, working class and income-restricted communities to the wealthy.
In this post, we are going to look at the past two budgets by this government, and we will book-end those budgets with the 2023 Labour-led budget, and the projected 2026 budget. Because yes, it’s important to look to how they are funding, or defunding marae, Māori health, kura kaupapa and housing, but it’s also important to look at patterns across time. Budgets are always determined as a staged process of a larger agenda.
The projections are based upon the track record of the past two budgets, but also taking into account coalition agreement commitments, budget previews by the PM and Finance Minister, and other press statements by them.
On budget day, we will see how accurate some of these projections are, by then you can have a look at the figures yourself to see. If you want to compare, download or have a closer look at the charts, scroll to the interactive section at the bottom of this post.
So first, a quick comparison of the capital allowance – which is for building things, and the operating allowance, which is what funds new projects, jobs etc.
Capital Allowance
Fiscal EnvelopeNew capital investment package. B23: $3.6B. B24: $4.0B. B25: $5.7B. B26: $5.7B confirmed.
Operating Allowance
Maori · NZ Budget B23-B26Key Changes
- B23: $4.8B (Labour government’s final budget)
- B24: $3.2B — first coalition budget, immediate 33% reduction
- B25: Signalled $2.4B — delivered only $1.3B — lowest in a decade
- B26: $2.1B confirmed — cut again from $2.4B signalled in December 2025
- Three consecutive budgets delivered below the government’s own signalled figure
- Current allowance is less than half the previous government’s final budget
- Low allowance = services diluted across growing population in real terms
New discretionary operating spend added at each Budget — the pool of money for running public services, paying staff, and funding new programmes. When this falls, services are cut or diluted. B23: $4.8B (Labour). B24: $3.2B. B25: signalled $2.4B, delivered $1.3B — lowest in a decade. B26: $2.1B confirmed. For context: the previous government’s final budget was $4.8B. Source: Treasury/budget.govt.nz.
Remember that when the capital significantly exceeds the operating allowance, that usually means job losses, and privatisation, because essentially they’re funding the *thing* but not the people it takes to run the *thing*. Privatisation is basically the government selling the asset or service off to a corporation to deliver it.
Privatisation is another way to channel wealth, and has generally resulted in services which prioritise profit over the interests of the public, over human rights, over Earth rights and certainly over our inherent rights as Indigenous people. It’s also another way that the government can evade their responsibilities as a Treaty partner, because while everyone has a moral duty toward te Tiriti, the Crown itself has legal duties towards te Tiriti (even though they are effectively watering those legal duties down as much as possible). So while the Treaty clause review dilutes te Tiriti, privatisation is a swifter, more immediate way to evade legal Tiriti obligations.

The pattern is clear and unsurprising: Māori-specific lines fall consistently and steeply from Budget 2023 to Budget 25 while policing, corrections, and military spend rise. The combined Māori trajectory shows over 60% reduction in targeted spending across two budgets. Law and order shows the inverse.
Ok so let’s get to the Māori spend. This insight looks at the spend across a range of targeted expenses in prior budgets: Māori health; Māori housing; Te Reo Māori; Cultural investment; Māori conservation projects; Kohanga, Kura Kaupapa and Whare Kura; Marae; Social and Humanities Research (which accounts for a significant amount of Māori research); the Waitangi Tribunal and Te Arawhiti. We can look at each of those, independently, a little further below, but put together, they paint a picture about how Te Ao Māori as a whole has been de-funded by this government. The orange line is the combined Māori spend. The other lines are what the government has spent on policing and imprisoning people, and military spending. As you can see, they’re heading in opposite directions.
The prison budget has gone up a wopping 200% – and is all of this investment in policing and imprisoning delivering? Well according to Ministry of Justice figures, violent offences went UP from 32,758 in 2023 to 35,452 in 2025. Drug offences went UP from 12,593 in 2023 to 16,633 in 2025, and family violence offences went UP from 30,481 in 2023 31,960 in 2025.
I can’t help but look at these lines and think about Paul Goldsmith’s repeated response to the United Nations Committee for the Elimination of Racism, which boiled down to: We haven’t progressed anything on human rights because we are busy locking Māori youth up.

Let’s look at some of the themes individually, starting with the biggest drop across the last two budgets: Te Arawhiti Office for Crown-Māori relations, who have had a $22mill drop in funding, resulting in a 40% staff cut. Now you might think “who cares it’s a Crown department anyway” – Te Arawhiti were there to help claimants against the Crown, in their claims. This included helping whānau to navigate the complex claim system, monitoring whether the Crown actually complied with Tribunal recommendations AND whether the Crown did the things they said they would, as well as supporting research and legal analysis to support claims. So claims against the Crown are significantly impacted by this specific funding cut.

Māori Conservation projects were also significantly cut back, including Māori conservation ranger programs, iwi partnerships, rongoā and taonga species protection and restoration programs, Māori climate resilience funding, freshwater and coastal marine rights programs, and conservation based upon matauranga Māori are all caught up in this funding. And of course this has seen such massive cuts ($13mill over 3 years) – it’s everything this conservative white supremacist government hates wrapped up in one. If there is a change in this trajectory, I’ll be picking myself up off the floor.
Speaking of claims, the Waitangi Tribunal itself has been significantly de-funded. So on top of the delays to the pre-claim process and post-claim monitoring resulting from defunding Te Arawhiti, further delays can be expected from the tribunal itself:

Further to this, the evidence and science infrastructure required to support claims of injustice, and the pathway to Tiriti and Indigenous justice, doesn’t just come from Te Arawhiti and claims processes though. Māori science and research, through the science sector, has contributed a significant amount to understanding the harms of colonialism, how it is all connected, and what can be done about it. Māori research is not just research into historical heritage, it’s an entire knowledge system with direct relevance to land, environment, health, and governance. Defunding it removes an evidence and knowledge infrastructure that Māori institutions need to assert and defend rights claims. Unsurprisingly, this too has been slashed over multiple budgets. (This is a combination of defunding from Mātauranga Māori research; Marsden Fund and Māori streams; Māori focussed MBIE and HRC (Health Research Council) research and Te Ara Paerangi/Future Pathways reform funding).

Now, the growth of mātauranga Māori, Māori science and research doesn’t begin in universities or research institutes. While baseline funding (which is already disproportionately low for Māori medium schools) was not cut, everything over and above that has been significantly reduced. That funding would have paid for specialist kaiako, ICT support, regional co-ordination initiatives, reo Māori training for teachers even in kura auraki (colonial school system), basically all of the infrastructure that it takes to deliver quality kaupapa Māori education under a colonial government.

This in and of itself will have disastrous effects upon Te Reo Māori and cultural wellbeing, but that’s also not the only way our reo and culture have been defunded. While Te Matatini has enjoyed a funding increase (which is aggressively promoted by the government in response to criticism) – that is occurring in tandem with much broader cuts or complete removal in the broader “ecosystem” of Māori language and culture, including:
- Te Taura Whiri i te Reo Māori
- Aotearoa Reorua / bilingual towns programme
- Te reo signage funding
- Language learning resources and curriculum
- Māori Television Whakaata Māori / iwi radio
- Matariki public holiday and associated programming
- Waiata, taonga pūoro, and performing arts

Te Matatini is undoubtedly a huge, important and successful event – but funding an event whilst cutting te reo infrastructure, Māori broadcasting, and bilingual communities reveals something about which aspects of Māori culture are deemed palatable — performative and celebratory expression versus the institutional infrastructure of language transmission and self-determination. This is the pattern across the entire Māori funding picture. The Crown keeps aspects of the structure visible while removing everything that makes it work. It can then point to those aspects — the kura kaupapa still exists, Te Matatini is still there – and claim that they are supporting te Ao Māori. But it is a shell of what it actually takes to maintain our existence as Māori, in the face of colonial domination. The heart of Māori cultural wellbeing are undeniably our marae, which makes the cuts in marae and whenua infrastructure concerning as well:

It’s also worth considering that the broader cuts across the “ecosystem” of Māori language and culture significantly reduces the employment prospects for graduates of Māori knowledge systems. Significantly, it will undoubtedly impact upon our collective and individual wellbeing, which is shaped by our cultural wellbeing.
And that of course will compound the other major, and very concerning cuts in actual Māori health, and housing (which is an unavoidable determinant Māori health). When I said in the previous blog that budgets determine who gets to live, this is the nuts and bolts of that claim. Everything listed above is a part of the broader story for why Māori die earlier, and more preventable deaths than everyone else in this country. Collectively, this is why Māori mokopuna are much less likely to meet, let alone sit with, and learn from, and hold and be held by their koroua and kuia.
But the defunding of health and housing initiatives for Māori, is the sharp edge of that equation. It’s a part of the cause, but also once that ill health is caused, it’s a part of why it’s not effectively responded to.


So here are all of the charts, together. You can combine and compare them using the “compare” button. It’s depressing, of course, but it’s important for us to see this and remember it every time this government suggests we should be thankful for what they are providing.
So what to do about it all? Well… again, call them out when they suggest they are looking after us. Grow your own local economies in your community, and vote for an abundant future through constitutional transformation.
Tomorrow will be the final in this series, and it will be much more positive – we will look at what a budget might look like if it were Tiriti centered, and anti-racist – and importantly, we will talk about how it is all possible to achieve, right now, through making different political choices.















![THE INDIANS IN FIJI
(To the Editor.)
Sir, — Your correspondent "From the East" has missed the main point mentioned by Mr. Fraser and criticised by me, and that was about the Indians' treatment in Fiji. It is clear from Mr. Fraser's letter that he is of opinion that the Indian is well treated there, while I still hold that he is a poor ill-used creature. Let us go back to the strike period of 1919. Whilst articles had risen 200 and 300 per cent in price, my countrymen had been receiving only 2/ as a daily wage, which was entirely insufficient to keep body and soul together. And this at a time when all growers of cane were doing unusually well. Three years after the war had begun, while prices had been rising in every direction, the indentured labourer himself was obtaining exactly the same wage as before the war. The average savings sent to India by indentured labourers, according to the Rev. Andrews, did not amount to more than 6/ per head per annum. As Dr. Manilal said in writing of the unfortunate position of these people "Hundreds of Indians are yearning or panting to see a ship to go back to India and leave this Hell on earth created by the greed and avarice of the English planters and their Fiji Government." — I am, etc.,
JELAL KALYANJI NATALI.
[This correspondence is closed. — Ed.]](https://i0.wp.com/tinangata.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/image-14.png?resize=300%2C602&ssl=1)








